Articles

The part nobody explains
before you pay the fee.

Drawdown mechanics, position sizing and the rules that actually close prop accounts. Written because we learned all of it the expensive way, and none of it is proprietary. You can apply every word of this to somebody else's strategies, or to your own.

Method

Nobody knows where the next bar goes

Intraday price is very close to unpredictable, and no amount of screen time fixes that. What is left once you accept it is a short list: pick the conditions, follow the rules, manage the trade. That list is the whole job.

Read → 7 min
Drawdown

Your winner tightens your loser’s leash

On most prop accounts the drawdown limit follows your unrealized profit up and never comes back down. Here is what that costs, in dollars, on a trade that ends flat.

Read → 6 min
Risk

Diversification does not do what you think inside one account

Splitting risk across uncorrelated strategies is real and large. Adding strategies to an account is a different thing entirely, and it makes the drawdown worse.

Read → 8 min
Account sizing

How much of your allowance should one trade risk?

Take an unusually good strategy and size it at 30% of the account's allowance. Its expected life is about sixty trades. The same strategy at 5% survives essentially forever. Nothing changed but the sizing.

Read → 5 min
Risk

One equity engine and one gold engine. Per firm. Maximum.

Independent strategies will eventually take opposite sides of the same market. At one firm that is hedging, and the penalty is usually closure and forfeiture — even though you did nothing wrong.

Read → 6 min
ETD

The trade was up $458. It closed at $46.

Everyone optimizes the entry. The money is usually lost after the trade is already winning. Why we judge our own engines on what they keep, not what they make.

Read → 7 min
Account sizing

Ten accounts can still be one bet

Two things we could not find written down anywhere, after going looking for how serious traders actually construct a multi-firm book. Plus four problems we have not solved.

Read → 7 min
Account sizing

A full-size contract is ten micros. The results are not.

ES is exactly ten MES. That does not make an ES backtest equal to the MES backtest times ten, and the size of the gap depends on what triggers your strategy.

Read → 5 min

These articles teach you to audit a strategy vendor — including this one. The numbers behind everything we sell are in the backtest explorer, trade by trade, and the forward test shows how they have tracked since.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE — NO ACTUAL TRADING

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.

Every figure on this page attributed to our own engines comes from backtests produced in the NinjaTrader® Strategy Analyzer. No orders were executed in a funded account and no money was at risk. Results are one contract per account, net of commission as charged by the platform and one full tick of slippage on every contract on every trade. Simulated figures are labelled as simulations where they appear. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss.